recent and future tariffs will cut about 0.3 percent of global GDP in the short ter
m, with half stemming from negative effects on business and market confidence.
Failure to resolve the trade differences and further escalation in other areas, such as the auto
industry, which would cover several countries, “could further dent business and financial market se
ntiment, negatively impact emerging market bond spreads and currencies, and slow investment and trade“, the research said.
Experts urged the US government to stop its protectionism and proposed options for a resolution between the two countries.
Chen Wenling, chief economist of the China Center for International Economic Exchanges, said the US needs to correct moves that have
already added pressure to global economic prospects. Otherwise, it will “pay the price” for its protectionist behavior, she said.
enced the renminbi’s performance, said Wang Shengzu, co-head of Investment Strategy Group Asia Goldman Sachs.
But the currency is unlikely to slip out of a reasonable range, assuming there is no big shock from the trade talks, Wang said.
As a sound base for a stable renminbi, “the Chinese economy has shown sig
ns of bouncing up, shown by the faster-than-expected growth of industrial output, ret
ail sales, and credit in the first quarter, and this means that economic activity is improving with supportive pol
icies”, said Wang.Liu Shiyu, China’s former top securities regulator, was under investigation for alleged violations of
the law, according to a statement Sunday from the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection.